Like many Democrats, I considered this theory as just that: a theory competing with other plausible explanations. Perhaps the GOP wanted to use the shutdown to fire government workers. Maybe Trump wanted to use the shutdown to weaken the Affordable Care Act. Maybe it was all just an effort to distract from high prices.
With today’s stunning release of new emails, we learned it probably was the Epstein Files all along. At a minimum, Epstein emails indicate that Trump was aware of some of what the convicted pedophile was up to, writing that Trump “knew about the girls.” There are other emails, but you get the gist.
So, if the shutdown was actually about concealing the Epstein Files, it raises the question: In what other ways have they been driving the president’s actions?
There are several well-accepted theories about what has motivated the Trump administration during its first 10 months in office: a desire to be an autocrat, revenge against political opponents, the implementation of Project 2025. But if you look back on the last year, it seems increasingly clear that the White House has been obsessed with containing the damage and fallout from the Epstein Files.
The pundit and political class have tended to downplay the Epstein Files because they believe it's too salacious and not serious enough to drive government policy and decision-making. Except, they are doing just that. Dismissing the importance of the Files ignores who Trump is and who he has always been.
Trump is the guy in the Access Hollywood tape. He is the man who paid off a porn star to conceal an affair. He is the person accused of and found liable for sexual assault. He is, as Spy Magazine called him decades ago, a “short fingered vulgarian.”
The government closure may be behind us. Health care costs are still a crisis for tens of millions of Americans. Affordability in general plagues even more.
But for the guy in the White House — and his GOP sycophants — all of that pales in comparison to concern over the Epstein Files. It is what is driving their thinking and, most importantly, his actions.
For Democrats and others in the pro-democracy movement, it’s time for us to center this issue.
While it is true that Trump is motivated in his pursuit of power, it is also true that he is driven to conceal the thing that threatens that power: whatever is hidden in the Epstein Files.
We cannot be above talking about this issue — it influences Trump’s choices on cabinet picks, the economy, and free and fair elections. It is the one thing that alienates Trump from his base — and he knows that. We need to talk about it.
And now, we need to take this opportunity to look forward and think about what happens next. Today, Congresswoman-elect Grijalva is expected to be sworn in. This will provide the final signature needed to compel a vote to release the Epstein Files. If all goes as expected, Trump and Speaker Johnson will lose that vote.
Whatever is in the files has kept the government closed, captivated the Department of Justice and kept Donald Trump awake at night. When we finally see what is inside the case file, we need to make sure he is held accountable.