But here is the truth: while we will do everything possible to stave this off for 2026, that will become increasingly difficult for 2028 and 2030. By the time states are required to redraw maps after the 2030 census, I fear the entire redistricting process will be near collapse.
Unconstrained by any requirement to ensure minority voting rights, high-powered computers will generate maps optimized for partisan outcomes. With mid-cycle redistricting the new normal, lines will be adjusted every two years to ensure that population shifts do not undo the gerrymander.
Republican-controlled states will split cities into multiple pieces to prevent them from wielding any electoral power. Minority communities will be dispersed and disempowered simply on the grounds that they are more likely to vote for Democrats. Millions of voters will be silenced by GOP operatives wielding a computer and an algorithm.
Democrats cannot afford to combat this with half measures. When California redistricted to match Texas, it sought only five seats. Crucially, it only lifted the ban on gerrymandering until the next census redraw.
To prevent Republican authoritarianism, California and other blue states will need to completely dismantle state obstacles to partisan map drawing — and they must be willing to follow Virginia Democrats' example of going all in.
I do not relish what comes next. But I will not hide from it either. Democrats support a nationwide ban on partisan and mid-cycle redistricting. If Republicans feel threatened enough to come to the table, then perhaps we can achieve it.
But we are not there yet. Until we are, we cannot unilaterally disarm. We cannot abide by norms that Trump and his party gleefully trample upon. We must use every tool available to fight for every seat, in every state, in every cycle.
Put simply: right now, Democrats must gerrymander to save democracy.
Now, here's some joy from our pawtners in the opposition movement.